TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between Stanford and Louisville. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win in the latter half of play, allowing participants to assess varying levels of competitive balance.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Stanford vs Louisville college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve per the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting equitable assessment of incomplete or canceled events.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and expert opinions. However, this market allows traders to adjust the price based on new information and collective belief, potentially leading to a more accurate prediction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public biases, or the influence of large bets, but often, the prediction market odds converge with sportsbook lines as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the second half of the Stanford vs Louisville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether Louisville wins the second half by over 4.5 points, or if Stanford covers the spread. The final result will be sourced from official game data and will reflect the actual performance of both teams during the second half of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Louisville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or unexpected starting lineup announcements could also impact the market. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first half of the game, and any shifts in public perception based on media coverage, could lead to adjustments in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or referee decisions during the game could also play a role.