TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the Stanford versus Louisville college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Louisville a 99.0% probability of winning, while Stanford is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official outcome of the game, as determined by the result of the Stanford vs Louisville college football game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026. Keen observers should watch for the game’s completion on October 30, 2026, as that is when the winner – and therefore the market’s resolution – will be determined.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Stanford vs Louisville college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, markets will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks may react quickly to news or injuries, while the prediction market may take time to fully incorporate this information. Over time, the two may converge, or the prediction market may signal a different likely outcome than conventional wisdom suggests.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if that outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stanford vs Louisville game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions closed.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Key injuries to star players on either Stanford or Louisville would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding coaching changes, team morale, or even weather conditions could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other relevant games could also indirectly affect sentiment. As the game approaches, any updates regarding player availability or strategic adjustments will be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to increased volume and price fluctuations.