TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Stanford vs Louisville: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Stanford vs Louisville?

Volume:
$15,492

Louisville wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Louisville wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,458
N/A
N/A
$1,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
$667
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 13.5 points

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,855
N/A
N/A
$2,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,654
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,308
N/A
N/A
$1,592
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 16.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,173
N/A
N/A
$919
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 19.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,129
N/A
N/A
$1,033
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
$428
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Stanford and Louisville. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might perform in the opening quarter.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Stanford vs Louisville college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market where the specified point differential is exceeded by the winning team, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable assessment of outcomes given the circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Stanford vs Louisville spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to see how the perceived probability of each outcome has changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $874, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,191. This provides insight into market activity and how much traders are wagering on various outcomes in this first-quarter spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Stanford vs Louisville game will be compared to the contract spreads offered on Kalshi. The contracts corresponding to the correct spread will pay out $100, while those representing incorrect spreads will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Louisville teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in shifting the market’s perception of the likely outcome.