TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Stanford and Louisville in the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that determines whether Louisville or Stanford achieves a dominant lead before halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Stanford vs Louisville college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For Louisville markets, resolution occurs if Louisville leads by more than the specified point margin at halftime. For Stanford markets, resolution occurs if Stanford leads by more than the specified margin at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the halftime score. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the cancellation or significant delay of the contest.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the first half of the Stanford vs Louisville game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly updating as new information becomes available and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half spread result of the Stanford vs Louisville game as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final price of contracts on Kalshi will reflect whether the actual spread fell within the range covered by the contracts traded, allowing traders to profit or incur losses based on their predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Louisville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable to one team's playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.