TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Ligue 1 soccer match between Stade Rennais and Strasbourg Alsace. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring based on that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg Alsace professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The resolution considers only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded from the count. If the total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets share the same underlying event and time frame, with each threshold defining a distinct outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. As more information becomes available, such as team news or weather forecasts, the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches, though sportsbook odds can offer value at times.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, total goals scored in the Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more its price will fluctuate, indicating increased market interest and potential volatility.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated against established sporting regulations and publicly available information to guarantee a fair resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stade Rennais or Strasbourg would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from the managers, or even unexpected lineup changes, could shift traders’ expectations and lead to adjustments in the odds. Public sentiment and betting patterns observed elsewhere could also contribute to changes in this market.