TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Stade Rennais will win their Europa League soccer game against OFI Crete. Currently, Kalshi gives Stade Rennais a 50.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 30.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, as reported by the official outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete match on October 15, 2026, as that will determine the resolution of this market.
The market resolves based on the result of the Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Stade Rennais or OFI Crete wins the match in regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the stated rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of these markets.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning the odds will shift as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the odds. Major tactical announcements from either team’s manager could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the match can play a role, especially if there are shifts in perceived team strength or momentum. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also indirectly affect the market.