TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming Ligue 1 soccer match between Stade Rennais and Auxerre. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, helping participants assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Stade Rennais vs Auxerre professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from goal counts for resolution purposes. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the cumulative goals across all teams exceed the specified threshold for each respective market (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. This dynamic pricing creates a market-driven forecast of the total goals scored in the Stade Rennais vs Auxerre match, influenced by the collective intelligence of those participating.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Stade Rennais vs Auxerre match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regular play, including added time, will be counted towards the total. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stade Rennais or Auxerre would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring rate. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also impact the market price as traders adjust their expectations.