TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group concerns the outcome of the second half of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and AJ Auxerre. Markets ask which team will win the second half, or if it will end in a draw, based on goals scored during the second half plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and AJ Auxerre, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stade Rennais FC 1901" if Stade Rennais FC 1901 score more goals than AJ Auxerre in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Stade Rennais FC 1901 and AJ Auxerre score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AJ Auxerre" if AJ Auxerre score more goals than Stade Rennais FC 1901 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and AJ Auxerre, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stade Rennais FC 1901" if Stade Rennais FC 1901 score more goals than AJ Auxerre in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Stade Rennais FC 1901 and AJ Auxerre score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AJ Auxerre" if AJ Auxerre score more goals than Stade Rennais FC 1901 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade, potentially incorporating more diverse information and perspectives. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially when a large volume of trading occurs. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and often offer promotional incentives. Comparing the two provides a broader understanding of the probabilities associated with this market and potential value opportunities.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for the Stade Rennais vs. Auxerre second half may vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume can also be significantly different, influencing price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and the fees associated with each platform can create discrepancies. While both platforms aim to reflect the probability of an outcome, these differences in user behavior, volume, and platform mechanics can lead to divergent pricing on this market.