TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:02h:19m
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This event centers on the Conference League encounter between St. Truidense and Brann, focusing on whether each team finds the back of the net at least once during the standard match duration. The resolution hinges on goals scored within the 90 minutes and any added stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If St. Truidense and Brann both score a goal in the St. Truidense vs Brann Conference League match originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks frequently incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view by trading in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see prediction market prices become more accurate as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, increased selling of 'Yes' contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both St. Truidense and Brann score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either St. Truidense or Brann would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring game. Additionally, any tactical adjustments announced by the managers of either team, or shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of this market.