TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first half of a college football game between St. Thomas and Marist. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends exclusively on who holds the advantage at halftime.
If Marist wins the 1st half of the St. Thomas vs Marist college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. Thomas wins the 1st half of the St. Thomas vs Marist college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the St. Thomas vs Marist college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. However, this market allows traders to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities dynamically. If a significant amount of money flows towards one team, the price will shift, potentially signaling a different expectation than initial sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely fluctuate as new information becomes available. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential winner of the first half.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first half winner of the St. Thomas vs Marist basketball game will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official game statistics and score reported by the relevant sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either St. Thomas or Marist would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, early betting trends in traditional sportsbooks and public polls could influence the market, as traders incorporate this information into their predictions. Game-day developments, such as early scoring runs or key fouls, will also undoubtedly affect the price of this market.