TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:19h:03m
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This group covers the college football game between St. Thomas and Butler scheduled for November 7th. Markets exist on the outright winner, the point spread, and the over/under total points scored. The core question revolves around which team wins or how much they win by.
In the upcoming college football game between St. Thomas and Butler, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Thomas" if St. Thomas win the game. This market will resolve to "Butler" if Butler win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open to resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between St. Thomas and Butler, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Thomas" if St. Thomas win the game. This market will resolve to "Butler" if Butler win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their belief about the game’s outcome, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing market participants, information access, and the incentive structures of each venue. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded assessment.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the St. Thomas vs. Butler game may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and more volatile price movements. Furthermore, the specific market structures – such as the types of contracts offered and the fees charged – can influence pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: St. Thomas (-14.5) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward St. Thomas wins at 65.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the St. Thomas vs. Butler game, as reported by official sources, will determine the outcome. Traders will be able to see the verified result and the market will settle accordingly. The outcome will be based on the official game result, including any overtime periods, and will be publicly available to confirm the market’s resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or game conditions could also cause price movements. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the St. Thomas vs. Butler game can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into potential market shifts.