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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

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40,178

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4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

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St. Pauli vs Karlsruhe
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What is the result of St. Pauli vs Karlsruhe?

Volume:
$48,890

St. Pauli

 - Kalshi

St. Pauli - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 9:33 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

St. Pauli

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,757
N/A
N/A
$16,856
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karlsruhe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,881
N/A
N/A
$8,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,251
N/A
N/A
$5,698
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between St. Pauli and Karlsruhe. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether St. Pauli wins, Karlsruhe wins, or the game ends in a tie.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the St. Pauli vs Karlsruhe professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for St. Pauli occurs if St. Pauli wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Karlsruhe occurs if Karlsruhe wins under the same conditions. If the match concludes in a tie after the same duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time and stoppage time is considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the St. Pauli vs Karlsruhe match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, reflecting the collective predictions of traders. Currently, the total volume for this market is $48,890, with $48,799 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity surrounding the upcoming football match.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often quickly exploited by market participants.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the confidence level behind each prediction, allowing you to assess the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Pauli vs Karlsruhe match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for St. Pauli, a win for Karlsruhe, or a draw—actually occurred during the match. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants, or even significant media coverage focusing on one team's chances, could cause noticeable price movements in this market as traders adjust their positions.