TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between St. Mirren and Hibernian. It focuses on how many goals the winning team might score beyond their opponent, reflecting expectations about the competitiveness and possible dominance in the match.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios for the St. Mirren vs Hibernian professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: St. Mirren winning by more than 2.5 goals, St. Mirren winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hibernian winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hibernian winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market meeting its specified differential condition resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' The platform disclaims official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including news and public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes for the St. Mirren vs Hibernian match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current top market on Kalshi is for Hibernian wins by more than 2.5 goals, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the St. Mirren vs Hibernian match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official goal difference as determined by the governing football authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. It is important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.
Several signals could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either St. Mirren or Hibernian would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about managerial changes or internal team issues could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.