TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Scottish Premiership. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the game or if the match will end in a tie, based on the official result after regular time.
The market resolves based on the official result of the St. Mirren vs Hibernian professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective team wins the match within regular time, or if the match ends in a tie for the 'Tie' market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, though past performance doesn't guarantee future results. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as new information emerges and influences trader behavior.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely result of the St. Mirren vs Hibernian match. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for the probability of a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the St. Mirren vs Hibernian match, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi following official confirmation. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, or even large-volume trades on Kalshi, could also cause noticeable price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning are likely to impact the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.