TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between St. Mirren and Dundee FC. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, helping to gauge the expected intensity and scoring potential of the game. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the St. Mirren vs Dundee FC professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market labeled 'Over X.5 goals scored,' if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—but excluding extra time or penalties—the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the total does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct goal threshold, and none are influenced by the results of extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, driven by informed traders, aggregates diverse perspectives and can quickly adjust to new information. While sportsbooks may offer more variety in bet types, prediction markets often provide a more transparent and efficient price discovery process, potentially offering better value for those who can accurately assess the probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible goal totals in the St. Mirren vs Dundee match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices will shift, creating opportunities for those who believe the market is mispricing the event. The goal is to buy contracts at a price lower than your belief of the true probability and sell them at a higher price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the St. Mirren vs Dundee match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will receive nothing. The market’s settlement is determined by the official match statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either St. Mirren or Dundee FC would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through sports news and social media can all contribute to shifts in the prices within this market. Unexpected lineup changes right before kickoff could also create volatility.