TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:19h:18m
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In the upcoming match between St Mirren FC and Rangers FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St Mirren FC" if St Mirren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rangers FC" if Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between St Mirren FC and Rangers FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St Mirren FC" if St Mirren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rangers FC" if Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals wagering their own capital, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have a different assessment, prediction market prices often converge towards the true outcome probability as the event approaches and more traders participate. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether St Mirren or Rangers will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current implied probability of St Mirren scoring first is 50.5%, influencing the share prices available for purchase.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scored the first goal in the St Mirren vs Rangers match. Official match reports and widely recognized sports news sources will be used to verify the result. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key attacking players, could significantly shift the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, might also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's style of play over the other. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal issues could influence how traders assess the likelihood of each team scoring first.