TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an NHL hockey game between St. Louis and Ottawa. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the matchup.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the St. Louis vs Ottawa NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026, and each resolving based on the margin of victory. Markets 1 and 2 address Ottawa’s potential win, with one requiring a victory by more than 2.5 goals and the other by more than 1.5 goals. Markets 3 and 4 focus on St. Louis’s potential win, similarly requiring margins of over 2.5 and over 1.5 goals, respectively. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to freely adjust the price based on their own analysis and information. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the St. Louis vs Ottawa game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the market's movement. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of each spread.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the St. Louis vs Ottawa game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the sport. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. The final score will determine which contracts settle positively.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the St. Louis or Ottawa teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could lead to rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities.