TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:05h:52m
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This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between St. Louis and New York R, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a decisive win by exceeding specific goal differentials. The resolution hinges on the official game result, accounting for potential postponements within a defined timeframe.
The event consists of four markets that resolve based on the goal differential in the St. Louis vs New York R NHL game scheduled for Nov 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for victory: New York R winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or St. Louis winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The official result of the game determines whether any of the specified margins of victory are met, thereby resolving each market accordingly.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the collective intelligence of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges and impacts market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cardinals vs Yankees spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning prices can fluctuate rapidly depending on trading activity and any new information related to the game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, contributing to a potentially more efficient price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the St. Louis Cardinals versus the New York Yankees game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official results are published.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cardinals or the Yankees would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all affect trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.