TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
Two NHL teams compete in a match where bettors predict if the combined goals exceed certain thresholds. Outcomes depend solely on the total goals scored, regardless of which team scores them.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the specified NHL game. Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and any overtime periods. If the game uses a shootout to determine the winner, the shootout awards one goal to the victorious team for resolution purposes. Should the match be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that market efficiency varies and these differences aren’t always present.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the chance of the total goals being over or under a certain threshold in the St. Louis versus Nashville game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the St. Louis versus Nashville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by the NHL. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall above or below the threshold defined by the available contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the St. Louis or Nashville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in goaltender assignments, or even weather conditions that might affect the game's style, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ scoring potential will likely be reflected in the price of contracts within this market.