TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between St. Louis and Minnesota, focusing on which team secures a victory. The event considers potential scheduling changes, ensuring that outcomes are determined based on the actual game result if played within a short window of the original date. If the game does not occur within this window, the market resolves to a fair value instead of a definitive win or loss.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between St. Louis and Minnesota originally scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Minnesota wins, the market resolves to Yes for the Minnesota outcome; if St. Louis wins, the market resolves to Yes for the St. Louis outcome. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available, and closer to the event date, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on public perception and any new developments. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook’s assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the probabilities displayed on the platform. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more its price will move, indicating the market's evolving expectations for the Cardinals vs. Twins game.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cardinals vs. Twins game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates surrounding the game as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also lead to price movements. Major upsets in other games that affect playoff standings or team morale could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the Cardinals vs. Twins game is crucial for informed trading on Kalshi.