TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various spread and over/under markets for the St. Louis City SC vs. Portland Timbers MLS game on October 28th. Markets range from simple win margins to total goals scored, with both first and second-half options available.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting through rewards. This market's price can be influenced by factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as news about player injuries or team morale. As a result, discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes be observed, offering opportunities for informed traders.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings. Furthermore, the specific market structures offered on each platform – such as different spread options – can influence pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors over 0.5 goals at 99%, while Predict doesn’t have a leading market, illustrating these potential differences in market perception.