TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between St Kilda Saints and Collingwood Magpies, scheduled for October 9 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "St Kilda Saints" if St Kilda Saints is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Collingwood Magpies" if Collingwood Magpies is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between St Kilda Saints and Collingwood Magpies, scheduled for October 9 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "St Kilda Saints" if St Kilda Saints is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Collingwood Magpies" if Collingwood Magpies is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, increased selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic creates a constantly updating forecast of the event’s likely result, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the St Kilda Saints versus Collingwood Magpies AFL match. The platform will then verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders holding shares in the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the St Kilda Saints or the Collingwood Magpies would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, weather forecasts for the match day, or even significant public endorsements could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also lead to notable price movements in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.