TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for October 23 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "St Kilda Saints" if St Kilda Saints is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for October 23 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "St Kilda Saints" if St Kilda Saints is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on new information, analysis, and their own predictions, causing the price to fluctuate and converge towards a consensus view. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing perceptions of the St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions’ chances.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the St Kilda Saints versus Brisbane Lions match, as declared by the AFL. The final score and winning team will be the determining factors, ensuring a clear and objective resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the St Kilda Saints or Brisbane Lions would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also drive movement. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly affect trading behavior and contribute to price fluctuations.