TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between St. Johnstone and Motherwell. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the St. Johnstone vs Motherwell professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. For each market, resolution to 'Yes' occurs if the combined goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) within 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the same match result. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available closer to the match date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting over 0.5 goals, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal count from the St. Johnstone vs Motherwell match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The total goals scored, including any own goals, will determine whether the market settles on 'over 0.5 goals' or 'under 0.5 goals'. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and their contract positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either St. Johnstone or Motherwell would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also affect expectations. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released by the managers could shift the market. Even general football news and analysis related to the Scottish Premiership could contribute to changes in the price of contracts on Kalshi.