TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between St. Johnstone and Motherwell. It focuses on how many goals the winning team might score beyond their opponent, reflecting expectations about the competitiveness and scoring dynamics of the game.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the St. Johnstone vs Motherwell professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: St. Johnstone winning by more than 2.5 goals, St. Johnstone winning by more than 1.5 goals, Motherwell winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Motherwell winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the corresponding condition is met. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of buy and sell orders at various price levels, indicating the strength of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the St. Johnstone vs Motherwell match, as officially reported by sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or a significant change in team performance in preceding matches, would likely cause movement. Public sentiment, reflected in news articles and social media, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.