TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring based on that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the St. Johnstone vs Dundee United professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the cumulative goals exceed the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news, injuries, and weather forecasts – the prediction market prices tend to converge towards what many believe is the true probability of different outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the St. Johnstone vs Dundee United match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the likely total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the St. Johnstone vs Dundee United match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be the definitive source for resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either St. Johnstone or Dundee United would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even late-breaking news about the referee, could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts – perhaps based on expert analysis – could also move the market.