TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between SSG Landers and NC Dinos. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for evaluation.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the SSG Landers and NC Dinos in their KBO game scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the actual total runs in the game meet or exceed any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring volume being assessed. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and levels of expertise among bettors. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Therefore, you might find that the implied probability of a certain total runs outcome in this market diverges from what’s offered at sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more active trading typically becomes, and the price movements can become more volatile as new information emerges. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final total runs and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total runs scored in the SSG Landers versus NC Dinos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, as recorded by the KBO league. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total runs outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the SSG Landers or NC Dinos would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location, particularly forecasts for rain or wind, could also shift expectations about scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on team strategies or lineup adjustments could influence traders’ assessments of the likely total runs. As the game approaches, even minor updates can cause fluctuations in this market.