TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for resolution. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the SSG Landers vs NC Dinos Korea KBO game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: NC Dinos winning by over 2.5 runs, NC Dinos winning by over 1.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, and SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs. Whichever condition is met first determines the market resolution. All markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer, providing a unique signal.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes for the SSG Landers versus the NC Dinos. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly forecasting the event's outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate assessment of the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the SSG Landers versus NC Dinos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the KBO, and will determine which contracts pay out to winning traders. The market will then close, and any outstanding contracts will be settled according to the final outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the SSG Landers or the NC Dinos would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the playing surface, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies, pitching matchups, or even public sentiment expressed through polls or analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market opinion.