TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team will win by a specific number of runs or more in a scheduled match. The result reflects the competitive balance between the teams during the contest.
The event evaluates whether either the SSG Landers or the Kia Tigers will win the specified game by exceeding designated run margins. Four separate conditions define potential resolutions: the Kia Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs, the Kia Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, the SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, or the SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs. If any of these conditions are met in the game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. All markets operate independently of the official league governance, with Kalshi explicitly stating no affiliation or endorsement by the governing body. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe the SSG Landers will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from what sportsbooks are offering. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting, depending on your analysis of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the SSG Landers versus Kia Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the SSG Landers win by more or less than the specified spread. The official game results will be used to determine the winning side of this market, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the SSG Landers or the Kia Tigers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as rain delays or strong winds, could also impact the game and shift trader sentiment. Additionally, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and updated team lineups could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.