TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a baseball game between SSG Landers and Hanwha Eagles, specifically whether either team will achieve a decisive lead of more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs. The result depends entirely on the final score margin between the two teams in the scheduled match.
The event determines whether either the SSG Landers or Hanwha Eagles will win the specified baseball match by a margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 runs. Four distinct outcome conditions are evaluated: Hanwha Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, Hanwha Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, or SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs. If any of these conditions are met in the game originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither guarantees a correct prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the SSG Landers versus Hanwha Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Hanwha Eagles win by over 1.5 runs, as defined by the official game results. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting pitchers for either the SSG Landers or the Hanwha Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, impacting the expected run scoring environment. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment or large trading volume from informed participants could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.