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24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio
polymarket
opinion
predict
kalshi

What is the result of SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio?

Total volume:
$29,111
Volume 24h:
$12,249
27%
Liquidity:
$56,817
24%
Open interest:
$18,365
127%

Napoli

all

4 markets

Kalshi

Predict

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:09h:11m

Napoli wins

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Napoli

Trade
45%
1%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
1¢
N/A
$1,802
17%
N/A
$1,580
5d 9h 11m
Active
predict

NAP

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
$8,244
$11
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 11m
Active
polymarket

SSC Napoli

Trade
44%
2%
Yes 45¢No 57¢
2¢
$17,234
$1,008
23%
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 11m
Active
opinion

Napoli wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
44.6%
Yes 44.7¢No 56.7¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Lazio

Trade
31%
2%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
N/A
$24,223
90%
N/A
$16,503
5d 9h 11m
Active
predict

LAZ

Trade
31%
3%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$5,924
$23
578%
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 11m
Active
polymarket

SS Lazio

Trade
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$13,365
$1,546
26%
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 11m
Active
opinion

Lazio wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Draw (SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio)

Trade
27%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
$8,352
$100
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 11m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
24%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
N/A
$398
2%
3,974,900%
$283
5d 9h 11m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 11m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
$3,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24.5%
Yes 26.5¢No 74.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 12

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Serie A soccer match between SSC Napoli and SS Lazio on November 8, 2026. Markets ask whether Napoli, Lazio, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket specifies a 'No' resolution for canceled games, while Kalshi does not address this scenario, and Opinion/Predict resolve differently based on the market.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket's explicit rule could lead to different price action than other platforms if a cancellation becomes probable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. Resolution within 24 hours, or 50/50 draw.
  • Kalshi: If Napoli wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Lazio wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result, the market resolves to Yes. No mention of cancellation handling.
  • Opinion: Resolves 'No' for Napoli/Lazio wins if the match is canceled. Resolves 'Yes' for a draw if the match is canceled.
  • Predict: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. Resolution within 24 hours, or 50/50 draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between SSC Napoli and SS Lazio.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Napoli vs Lazio professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. There are three possible outcomes: Napoli win, Lazio win, or a tie. If Napoli wins the match within regulation time, the 'Napoli' market resolves to Yes. If Lazio wins within regulation time, the 'Lazio' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. The markets do not consider results from extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with Lega Serie A or any governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between SSC Napoli and SS Lazio.

Opinion

This market refers to the Serie A match between Napoli (NAP) and Lazio (LAZ), scheduled for 2026-11-08 11:30 UTC. - NAP: If Napoli wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LAZ: If Lazio wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both NAP and LAZ options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Napoli Lazio match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $29,111, with $11,425 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions regarding the match's result. While Polymarket currently favors Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? at 44.0%, Kalshi leans toward Napoli wins at 45.0%, highlighting differing perspectives on the likely winner of the Napoli Lazio match.

Prediction market odds, like those found for the Napoli Lazio match, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, creating a more organic and potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market benefits from the collective intelligence of its participants, and can sometimes offer insights that diverge from conventional betting lines. The difference can also be influenced by market liquidity and the specific incentives of each platform.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying opinions and risk tolerance, leading to differing demand for specific outcomes. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the platforms may have different liquidity providers and market makers, impacting the spread and overall pricing. These factors combine to create the observed price discrepancies for this market, reflecting the unique dynamics of each venue.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Napoli Lazio match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as declared by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning outcome. The outcome of this market will be based on the final score of the match, with draws, Napoli wins, and Lazio wins all being potential resolutions. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either SSC Napoli or SS Lazio would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising loss in a prior match, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding tactical approaches or potential lineup changes from either manager could also move the market. Finally, any significant external factors, like adverse weather conditions impacting the match, could lead to shifts in predictions for this market.