TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SSC Napoli and Frosinone Calcio, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SSC Napoli and Frosinone Calcio, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome—Napoli scoring first, Frosinone scoring first, or neither team scoring first—and the price of these shares determines the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating assessment of the likelihood of each scenario, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, if any, scores the first goal in the first half of the SSC Napoli versus Frosinone Calcio match. If neither team scores during the first half, the 'Neither team to score first' outcome will be considered the result. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either SSC Napoli or Frosinone Calcio would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even unexpected news related to team morale or management decisions, could all contribute to movement in this market. The closer we get to Oct 10, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information.