This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between SSC Bari and AC Reggiana 1919 scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: whether Reggiana wins, whether Bari wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Polymarket's cancellation logic creates an asymmetry where the draw market resolves YES but win markets resolve NO if the game is canceled with no make-up. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance and assumes a completed match.
Hero Tip:
If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will pay out while win markets will not, creating a one-sided resolution. Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Hedge accordingly and monitor official Serie B communications closely.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets: Reggiana win (resolves NO if canceled), Bari win (resolves NO if canceled), and Draw (resolves YES if canceled). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official legaserieb.it statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
Kalshi: Three binary outcome markets (Tie, Reggiana win, Bari win) that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; assumes match completion.
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