TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Serie A soccer match between SS Lazio and Cagliari Calcio. Users can bet on either SS Lazio winning, Cagliari Calcio winning, or a draw. Resolution depends on which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between SS Lazio and Cagliari Calcio, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio score more goals than Cagliari Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SS Lazio and Cagliari Calcio score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio score more goals than SS Lazio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between SS Lazio and Cagliari Calcio, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio score more goals than Cagliari Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SS Lazio and Cagliari Calcio score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio score more goals than SS Lazio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives and reacts quickly to new information. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from the incentive of traders to be correct, as their profits depend on accurate forecasts for this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific factors. Polymarket currently favors SS Lazio to win the second half?, while Predict leans toward Cagliari Calcio to win the second half?. These differences can arise from differing levels of expertise among traders on each platform, or simply from the unique dynamics of liquidity and order flow within each venue. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery for this market.