TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC
Volume:
$1,086,523
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between SS Lazio and Atalanta BC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms align on the core resolution window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and the three possible outcomes (Lazio win, Atalanta win, draw). Minor divergence exists only in the cancellation scenario, where Polymarket explicitly resolves win markets to No but Kalshi's logic is ambiguous.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official website (https://www.legaseriea.it/)Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: SS Lazio wins, Atalanta BC wins, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket draw and win markets resolve to No; Kalshi's universal acceptance logic creates ambiguity
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed on a rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket explicitly resolves draw and win markets to No. Kalshi's logic states any outcome resolves to Yes, creating a technical divergence, though this scenario is unlikely.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties from resolution. Only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle of the match (90 minutes plus stoppage time), based on official Lega Serie A records.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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