TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Serie A soccer match between SS Lazio and AC Monza. Users are betting on whether Lazio, Monza, or a draw will occur based on goals scored exclusively in the second half of regulation time plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between SS Lazio and AC Monza, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio score more goals than AC Monza in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SS Lazio and AC Monza score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Monza" if AC Monza score more goals than SS Lazio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between SS Lazio and AC Monza, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio score more goals than AC Monza in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SS Lazio and AC Monza score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Monza" if AC Monza score more goals than SS Lazio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded understanding of the Lazio vs Monza second half.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors SS Lazio to win the second half at 56%, while Predict leans toward a draw. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to each platform’s traders, or simply from differing risk appetites. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery, leading to temporary discrepancies even if the underlying expectations are similar. These platforms operate independently, and their prices reflect their unique market dynamics.