This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between SS Juve Stabia and Cesena FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets on Polymarket track individual outcomes (Stabia win, Cesena win, draw), while Kalshi offers a combined market resolving Yes if any outcome occurs. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use identical match outcome criteria (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical postponement handling (markets remain open), and consistent cancellation logic with fallback to credible reporting within 2 hours.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie B statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
Possible outcomes: Stabia win (Yes on Stabia market, No on Cesena market, No on draw market), Cesena win (Yes on Cesena market, No on Stabia market, No on draw market), or draw (Yes on draw market, No on Stabia market, No on Cesena market)
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled with no make-up game: Stabia win market resolves No, Cesena win market resolves No, draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a result is determined
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's Cesena and Stabia win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes; Kalshi's combined market resolves to Yes
Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie B does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), with official statistics from Lega Serie B as primary source within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.