TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie B game between SS Arezzo and Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SS Arezzo vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie B game between SS Arezzo and Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SS Arezzo vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each exact score. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, which may not be fully captured in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores, and the price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more shares are traded, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders reacting to news, analysis, and their own informed opinions about the match. This creates a market-driven forecast of the final score.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the SS Arezzo vs. Ascoli match will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the result reported by official sports news sources and governing bodies. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available information and established sports regulations, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either SS Arezzo or Ascoli would likely cause price shifts. Tactical changes announced by either manager, such as a shift in formation or starting lineup, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different exact scores has the potential to influence trading activity in this market.