TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sri Lanka vs. Mauritius
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sri Lanka vs. Mauritius?

Volume:
$824,770

Sri Lanka

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sri Lanka

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$318,988
N/A
N/A
$140,721
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sri Lanka

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SRI

View
99%
73%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$26,910
$15,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MRI

View
1%
27%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3,150
$3,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mauritius

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,443
N/A
N/A
$133,790
Settled
No
polymarket

Mauritius

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
25%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3,292
$1,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,977
N/A
N/A
$127,164
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sri Lanka vs. Mauritius)

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a FIFA International Friendly soccer match between Sri Lanka and Mauritius, scheduled for October 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Sri Lanka winning on that date is 99.0%, while Mauritius has a 1.0% chance of winning. This aggregated view combines data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 5, 2026, to see if the significant implied probability of a Sri Lankan victory holds true.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using a standardized hierarchy of data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The primary resolution source is the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore will be used; if Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets will remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the win/loss markets will resolve to 'No', and the draw market will resolve to 'Yes'.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Sri Lanka and Mauritius.

Kalshi

This event resolves according to the result of the Mauritius vs Sri Lanka professional international friendly soccer game scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The possible outcomes include a Mauritius win, a Sri Lanka win, or a tie. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to exceed 48 hours from the original date, the market will settle at a fair price. The determination is based solely on regular time performance, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Sri Lanka and Mauritius.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. Sportsbooks may also be slower to adjust odds in response to new information. However, sportsbooks often offer a wider range of betting options than are currently available in this market. The difference in odds can sometimes be significant, offering arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, different platforms may have varying levels of information available to traders, leading to differing interpretations of the same data. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Currently, Polymarket shows a higher probability for a draw, while Predict indicates a stronger likelihood of a Sri Lankan victory, reflecting these differing market conditions.