TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:23 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. The exact score at the end of regulation time will be used to determine the winning share. Traders who hold shares in the correct exact score outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or key player availability would also likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in shaping market expectations leading up to the match.