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$323,326,361

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

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40,411

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel?

Volume:
$203,804

Greuther Furth

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 9:22 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Greuther Furth

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,023
N/A
N/A
$45,659
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,531
N/A
N/A
$17,202
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kiel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,648
N/A
N/A
$14,739
Settled
No
polymarket

Holstein Kiel

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a 2. Bundesliga soccer match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel on November 1, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, consider favoring the 'No' outcome on Polymarket. On Kalshi, the risk of indefinite market suspension due to cancellation should be considered.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Fürth/Kiel wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official stats, Flashscore, and Sofascore for resolution.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Fürth/Kiel wins or the game ends in a tie within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit handling for game cancellations. Relies on the game occurring to resolve.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Greuther Furth vs Kiel Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Greuther Furth wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Kiel wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. All markets are resolved exclusively based on the result in regular time, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets aggregate individual forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and liquidity should be considered.