TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:20 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game between Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo San Lorenzo, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sportivo Luqueno vs. Sportivo San Lorenzo match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game between Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo San Lorenzo, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sportivo Luqueno vs. Sportivo San Lorenzo match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone interested in understanding how various perspectives value the likelihood of different outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the Sportivo Luqueno vs. San Lorenzo match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading by users.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Sportivo Luqueno vs. San Lorenzo match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is finalized and confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities of different exact scores. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions might also trigger significant market movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on evolving insights.