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$1,885,293,300
410,482
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 21, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Two USL Championship soccer teams, Sporting Jax and Louisville City, will compete in a match scheduled for October 21, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sporting Jax vs Louisville City professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for October 21, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The governing league’s official result determines resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in this market to express that view, driving the price toward what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before substantial betting action occurs at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders responding to new information and their own analysis of the Sporting Jax vs Louisville City match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Sporting Jax vs Louisville City match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Sporting Jax or a win for Louisville City—is the correct one based on the official match results. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on the day of the match are also a key consideration, as they can impact playing style and overall performance. Unexpected results in other matches involving either team could also affect sentiment. Finally, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could drive trading activity and move the market.