TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:21 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer insights into public sentiment and potential value, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham match, as determined by the league organizers. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on team performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, or even public statements from coaches or players could all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other related games or shifts in public perception of each team's strengths and weaknesses are also likely to impact trading activity.