TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:25 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sporting Jax and Birmingham Legion FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting Jax" if Sporting Jax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Birmingham Legion FC" if Birmingham Legion FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sporting Jax and Birmingham Legion FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting Jax" if Sporting Jax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Birmingham Legion FC" if Birmingham Legion FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches, especially if there's strong disagreement with initial sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As traders exchange shares, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Sporting Jax will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Birmingham Legion FC. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham match. Any goals awarded due to penalties, own goals, or extra time will be considered in determining the first scoring team. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sporting authority, will serve as the definitive source for settling this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting Jax or Birmingham Legion FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, could affect how traders assess the likelihood of each team scoring first.