TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC?

Volume:
$31,928

Birmingham Legion FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 11:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Birmingham Legion FC

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Birmingham Legion FC

View
72%
24%
Yes 72¢No 28¢
—
N/A
$12,719
N/A
N/A
$7,578
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tie

View
19%
5%
Yes 19¢No 81¢
—
N/A
$7,323
N/A
N/A
$2,227
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

Draw (Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sporting Jax

View
9%
Yes 9¢No 91¢
—
N/A
$8,277
N/A
N/A
$3,033
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

Sporting Jax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer match between Sporting Jax and Birmingham Legion FC scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for Sporting Jax winning, Birmingham Legion FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for game cancellations. Kalshi resolves all outcomes as 'Yes' if the game isn't played, while Polymarket resolves win markets to 'No' and the draw market to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Be aware of the differing cancellation rules. Polymarket offers a hedge against cancellation in the win markets, while Kalshi does not. Consider this when sizing positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: If Sporting Jax or Birmingham Legion FC wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is not played, all markets resolve to 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Sporting Jax and Birmingham Legion FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. If Sporting Jax wins within this timeframe, the 'Sporting Jax' market resolves to Yes. If Birmingham Legion FC achieves the victory under the same conditions, the 'Birmingham Legion FC' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after the specified duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the outcome of the regulated match period, ensuring clarity and fairness in determining the final result.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $31,928, with $2,632 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the likely result, as traders on each platform place bets reflecting their individual predictions. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities derived from the trading activity, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for this contest. It’s a valuable tool for understanding market sentiment surrounding the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This means prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks typically have higher liquidity and wider availability. The difference in odds reflects varying levels of information aggregation and risk assessment between the two types of markets, and can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.