TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Promerica game, scheduled for October 19 at 8:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Promerica game, scheduled for October 19 at 8:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and can diverge based on information and participant biases. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment among traders, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sporting FC vs. San Carlos match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Sporting FC, a win for AD San Carlos, or a draw – actually occurred during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews, expert analyses, and even weather forecasts can also play a role. Furthermore, as the match date approaches, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches could cause fluctuations. A surprising result in a related match involving either team might also impact predictions, as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape.