TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sporting FC and AD San Carlos, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting FC" if Sporting FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD San Carlos" if AD San Carlos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sporting FC and AD San Carlos, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting FC" if Sporting FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD San Carlos" if AD San Carlos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that shifts the price on Polymarket closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of information is publicly available or when there's strong public sentiment surrounding an event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Sporting FC or AD San Carlos will score first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts, reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and opinions of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Sporting FC or AD San Carlos—is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. A significant shift in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media trends or expert predictions, could also cause the price to move. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Sporting FC or AD San Carlos scoring first has the potential to impact trading activity and the market price.