TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sporting de Alcazar CF and Cp Talayuela in the Copa del Rey, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win during regulation time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends strictly on the final score at the end of regulation, with specific provisions for tie outcomes and game disruptions.
The event determines the winner of the Sporting de Alcazar CF vs Cp Talayuela professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Sporting de Alcazar CF, a win for Cp Talayuela, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The resolution strictly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place more weight on, different information. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time probability estimate for the Sporting de Alcazar vs Talayuela match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the regulation time moneyline for the Sporting de Alcazar CF versus Cp Talayuela match will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the official result from trusted sports data sources. No draws are possible in this moneyline market; a winner must be determined within regulation time to trigger market settlement. Traders should monitor official sources as the match progresses to anticipate the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Sporting de Alcazar CF or Cp Talayuela would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions that could affect the match, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, as traders react to perceived information advantages or shifts in overall market opinion.