TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Champions League soccer match between Sporting CP and LASK. Participants predict whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Sporting CP versus LASK Champions League match scheduled for October 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). For any given market, if the total goals scored by both teams during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalties—exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The governing body for the match is the Champions League, though Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with the league. Trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, on Kalshi, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the event's outcome. As a result, the implied probabilities derived from this market may differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely result, or identifying discrepancies that present trading opportunities. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the corresponding outcome occurs (e.g., over 5.5 goals are scored). The price of these contracts reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time indication of market expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for the potential payout, effectively representing a forecast of the total goals scored in the Sporting CP vs LASK match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Sporting CP vs LASK match, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals range will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting CP or LASK would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could shift market sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi can also cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting a change in collective market opinion.